SNF Betting Preview: Patriots vs Ravens Odds and Predictions
On Sunday, November 3rd, the undefeated New England Patriots head to Baltimore to take on the AFC North leading Baltimore Ravens. The Patriots look to extend their dominance over the AFC conference while the Ravens are trying to become the first team to defeat New England this season.
Baltimore is coming off a Bye Week, which means that they’ve had nearly two weeks to prepare for the Patriots. Will that be enough to score the upset win? Kickoff inside M&T Bank Stadium is at 8:20 PM ET.
Patriots vs Ravens Live Odds and Betting History
|Betting Data||New England Patriots||Baltimore Ravens|
|2019 ATS Home||3-1||0-3|
|2019 ATS Away||3-1||2-1-1|
|2019 O/U Home||2-2||1-2|
|2019 O/U Away||0-4||3-1|
New England vs Baltimore SNF Game Preview
These two teams have played against each other a total of 13 times dating back to 1996 when the team left Cleveland and became the Ravens. The Patriots are 10-3 all-time against the Ravens, which includes 8-1 during the regular season and 2-2 during the postseason.
The last time these two teams played against each other was a Monday night game in December 2016, where the Patriots won 30 to 23. The last time they played in Baltimore was December 2013, and the Ravens lost 41 to 7. Baltimore is 1-3 against the Patriots in home games.
New England (8-0) is coming off a 27-13 win over the Cleveland Browns where their defense once again dominated the game. The Patriots will head out on their 5th road game of the season this weekend and look to improve to 5-0 away from home. Will the Patriots stay undefeated, or will they slip up in Baltimore?
Baltimore (5-2) is coming off a Bye Week. They last played two weeks ago and soundly defeated the Seahawks in Seattle. Currently, the Ravens are 2-1 in home games as they dropped one to Cleveland by a score of 40-25. Can the Ravens protect their home field, or will they fall to .500 in home games this season?
The spread opened with the Baltimore Ravens getting as many as 5 points depending on the NFL betting site. Currently, the spread is the Ravens +3 points with most online betting sites. The over/under opened as high as 46.5 points before coming down to 45.5 total points with most sports betting sites.
The Patriots opened as a -200 moneyline favorite, but have come down as low as -178 with some NFL betting sites. The Ravens opened at +160, but can be found as high as +170.
Beware the BOOGEYMEN.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots)
Free SNF NFL Bet and Game Prediction: Patriots -3 (-110)
With two weeks to prepare for the Patriots, the Baltimore Ravens are feeling confident in their chances to hand New England their first loss of the season. But, will that confidence translate into on-field production?
Let’s start with the biggest matchup of the game: Baltimore’s offense vs New England’s defense.
According to NFL.com, the Ravens are averaging 434.9 total yards per game, which is 2nd best in the league. They’re also the No. 1 rushing offense at 204.1 ypg on the ground. Lastly, they’re the No. 2 scoring offense at 30.6 ppg. The Patriots are No. 1 at 31.2 ppg.
As you can see, the Ravens are a very potent offense led by dual threat QB Lamar Jackson who has 1,650 yards, 11 TDs and just 5 INTs. However, it’s his running skills that make him such a dangerous QB. Jackson has 576 rushing yards and 3 TDs on the ground. Currently, he’s the 10th leading rusher in the NFL.
The Patriots have the best defense in the NFL as they’re No. 2 in total yards at 234 ypg, No. 2 in passing with 148.8 ypg, and No. 4 against the run at 85.2 ypg. New England is the No. 1 scoring defense at 7.6 ppg. They lead the league with 19 INTs and 6 fumbles. They also lead the league with four defensive touchdowns.
So, even if these two units play to a stalemate, the advantage goes to the Patriots because they will win the matchup of their offense vs the Ravens defense.
The Deciding Factor
Ultimately, the deciding factor will be Tom Brady and the passing attack against the subpar Ravens passing defense. The Ravens are strong against the run, but they’re bad against the pass. Baltimore is ranked 26th in the NFL against the pass as they allow 265.4 ypg through the air.
The Patriots are 7th in the league for passing at 274.6 ypg. Brady has 2,251 yards and 13 TDs to just 4 INTs on the season.
The question you have to ask yourself when it comes to wagering on this game is whether you believe the Ravens passing defense or Brady will have the better game. For me, it’s almost always going to be Tom Brady.
I expect Brady to carve up this secondary and throw for 300 yards. Receivers Julian Edelman and Mohammad Sanu will have big contributions and so will James White out of the backfield.
The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 overall games, 10-0 SU in their last 10 games, 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games against the AFC North, 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year, 5-1 ATS in their last six November games, and 11-2 ATS in Weeks 5 through 9.
The Ravens are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine overall games, 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, 5-6 ATS after winning two or more games in a row, 1-4 ATS on grass fields, and 4-7 ATS in Weeks 5 through 9.
Not only am I taking the Patriots to cover the 3.5 point spread, but I’m also taking them to win by double-digit points. I don’t see the Ravens defense slowing down this passing attack. On the other side of the ball, the Patriots will stack the box, play man defense on the receivers, and make Jackson beat them with his arm. I don’t see that happening.
New England will put up at least 30 points on the Ravens and cruise to a double-digit win.
Patriots vs Ravens Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Moneylines: Patriots (-180) and Ravens (+160)
- Spread: Patriots -3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 45.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: New England 31 – Baltimore 20
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