NFL Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Pick
On Sunday, October 27th, the Philadelphia Eagles head to Western New York to take on the Buffalo Bills who have the second best record in the AFC. Philly is coming off a brutal divisional loss at Dallas last weekend while the Bills were able to come from behind to defeat divisional rival the Miami Dolphins.
Both teams are looking to make a statement on Sunday and to get healthier. Each team has missed some key pieces over the last few games. Can Philly bring Buffalo back down to earth or will the Bills win their third game in a row? Kickoff inside New Era Field is at 1 PM ET.
Eagles vs Bills Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of our live odds feed:
|Betting Data||Philadelphia Eagles||Buffalo Bills|
|2019 ATS Home||1-2||1-2|
|2019 ATS Away||1-3||3-0|
|2019 O/U Home||2-1||1-2|
|2019 O/U Away||2-2||0-3|
Philadelphia vs Buffalo Week 8 Game Preview
These two teams have played against each other 13 times with the Eagles holding the advantage at 7-6. The Eagles are also 3-2 in the last five head to head meetings. With that said, the Bills are 3-1 in their last four games at home against Philly including winning the last time they played in Western New York.
Philadelphia (3-4) comes into this contest on a two game losing streak and have been outscored by a combined total of 75 to 30. They are desperately looking to stop this skid and pull out the victory. However, that might be easier said than done since Philly is only 1-3 on the road this year.
Buffalo (5-1) is on a two game winning streak and 2-1 at home. They’re lone home loss, and only defeat on the season, was against the New England Patriots by a score of 16-10. The Bills are the only team to have played the Patriots tough this season and had a shot at winning late in the game. However, they’re’ getting little respect with just a 2 point spread.
The spread opened at Even with some NFL Betting sites, but has climbed up to -2 points in favor of the Buffalo Bills. The Over/Under opened at 42 points and climbed as high as 44 points before settling back down at 43.5 total points with most online betting sites.
The moneylines also opened at an even -111 odds for both teams. Since then, Philadelphia has moved as high as +110 and the Bills have shifted to a -125 or -130 favorite with many sports betting sites.
The defense is for real 💪💪💪
— NFL Total Access (@NFLTotalAccess)
Free NFL Spread Bet and Game Prediction: Buffalo Bills -2 (-110)
The Buffalo Bills have one of the best defenses in the league and continue to wreak havoc on opposing offenses. They’re allowing just 15.2 ppg, 306.3 total ypg, 215 passing ypg, and 91.3 rushing ypg. With that said, many teams have racked up some numbers late in the games after Buffalo has already cemented a victory.
Nevertheless, Buffalo’s defense will be tested against an Eagles offense that scores 24.4 ppg and averages over 350 total ypg with 239 passing ypg and 111.7 rushing ypg. Ironically, those averages are lower than Buffalo’s offensive numbers except for points per game.
Ultimately, Philly has really struggled as of late and have been getting blown out prior to putting up garbage time points and stats. The last two weeks are proof of this when they were down 31-20 against the Vikings and 27-10 against the Cowboys heading into the 4th quarter.
Not only has Philly really struggled on offense, but their defense has been atrocious as well. They allow 26.6 ppg, 377 total ypg, and 287.9 passing ypg. They do have a solid rush defense at 89.4 ypg. However, by time the 4th quarter arrives in this weekend’s contest, I expect Philly to be down by 7 points or more.
A tired defense will give way to Buffalo’s rushing attack and that will pad the stats by time it’s all said and done. Say what you want about Josh Allen, but the Bills QB has been lights out in the 4th quarter this season. He leads the NFL with a 139.6 passer rating in the 4th quarter this year. I expect that trend to continue against a terrible Eagles secondary.
The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall games, 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Bills, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 turf games, and 1-2 ATS as the underdog this season.
The Bills are 4-2 ATS this season, 2-0 ATS following a divisional game, 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games when the line was +3 to -3, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall games.
The Eagles will be a desperate team on Sunday, but I like the Bills resolve this year so far. I believe the home crowd will help them and that defense will get after Carson Wentz and cause a lot of trouble for the Philly offense.
On the flip side, I expect Josh Allen to have another strong performance this weekend especially in the 4th quarter. Watch for the Bills QB to lead the team in rushing yards as Philly will do a decent job slowing down the rushing attack by Gore and Singletary, but they have not played against a QB like Allen yet this season.
Not only do I think the Bills will win this game, but I also believe they will easily cover the spread. Take any spread under a field goal and bet with confidence on the Bills to cover at home. Look for Allen to throw for 225 yards, rush for 50 yards, have zero turnovers, and contribute three touchdowns to the scoreboard.
Eagles vs Bills Betting Recap:
- Oddsmaker: BetOnline
- Moneylines: Eagles (+105) and Bills (-125)
- Spread: Bills -2 (-110)
- Over/Under: 43.5 total points (-110)
- Prediction: Bills 27 – Eagles 23
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